Turnover

Holding period and turnover

Two leaders with the same annual return can be entirely different propositions to copy. The variable that decides it is how long they hold and how often they trade.

In short

Holding period determines how much a few seconds of replication delay matters, and turnover determines how much fee and slippage cost accumulates. Longer holds and lower turnover replicate faithfully; short holds and high turnover lose a large share of the leader's edge in transit.

The arithmetic of delay

If a leader's average position is held for three days, a delay of a few seconds at entry is negligible relative to the move being captured. If the average hold is thirty seconds, that same delay is a significant fraction of the trade's life.

The same logic applies at exit. A late exit on a slow position is a rounding error; a late exit on a scalp can convert the trade's result entirely.

  • Delay cost is roughly constant; edge per trade is not.
  • Fee drag scales linearly with turnover, including the builder fee on mirrored volume.
  • High turnover produces more data points, which helps scoring accuracy.
  • Low turnover produces cleaner replication but slower evidence.

The turnover trade-off in scoring

High-frequency records are statistically richer: hundreds of closed trades support a far more confident score than a dozen. That statistical advantage is why high-turnover accounts often top raw scoring — and why score alone is not the allocation decision.

Allocation weighs the confidence of the score against the fidelity of replication. A slightly noisier score on a strategy that copies cleanly is worth more than a precise score on one that does not.

What a follower should expect

Tracking error grows with turnover. Over a month, a low-turnover leader's mirrored result should sit close to theirs; a high-turnover leader's can diverge visibly in either direction without anything malfunctioning.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Perpetual futures are leveraged instruments and carry a substantial risk of loss, including the loss of your entire position.

Questions

Frequently asked

Why does my result differ from the leader's?

Entry and exit prices differ slightly on every mirrored trade. More trades means more accumulated divergence.

Is high turnover bad?

Not inherently. It becomes a problem when per-trade edge is small relative to replication cost.

Does the builder fee scale with turnover?

Yes. It is charged on mirrored volume, so a high-turnover leader generates more fee than a slow one at the same capital.

Can tracking error be positive?

Yes. Divergence is not systematically against the follower; it is noise around the leader's result, though costs bias it slightly negative.

How many closed trades support a score?

Enough that the result is not dominated by a handful of outcomes. Thin records are rejected rather than scored optimistically.

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